Auxerre vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 3 Jun, 21:00
Auxerre
13 Full time
Lens
Auxerre 1–3 Lens

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 26%
Away 52%

💡 Lens are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1669 Lens rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 3 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1669 vs 1425).
  • Lens is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Auxerre

Green = favours Auxerre · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AuxerreLDLLD0.4 ppg
LensWWWWW3 ppg
Power Rating
Auxerre1425
Lens1669
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model15% · 31% · 54%
Power Rating23% · 12% · 65%
Machine-learning3% · 34% · 63%

AI match preview

Auxerre hosts Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 52%, reflecting Lens' stronger expected performance with 1.40 goals compared to Auxerre's 0.63. A tight 0-1 scoreline is the most probable outcome, suggesting a closely contested match with limited scoring chances. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, fans might anticipate a low-scoring encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.63 – 1.40

Most likely score

0-1

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2023 Auxerre 1–3 Lens
Jan 2023 Lens 1–0 Auxerre