Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 3 Jun, 21:00
Monaco
12 Full time
Toulouse
Monaco 1–2 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 20%
Away 19%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1463 Monaco rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monaco v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1463).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoLWDLL0.8 ppg
ToulouseLDDDD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1533
Toulouse1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 23% · 28%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning51% · 31% · 18%

AI match preview

Monaco hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a 61% chance of victory, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.06 compared to Toulouse's 1.57. Despite the model favoring a home win, the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw, highlighting a competitive encounter. With a 70% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.06 – 1.57

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 70%

Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 70%

No 30%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2023 Monaco 1–2 Toulouse
Nov 2022 Toulouse 0–2 Monaco