Troyes vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 22/23 · Sat 3 Jun, 21:00
Troyes
11 Full time
Lille
Troyes 1–1 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (72%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 10%
Draw 18%
Away 72%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1331 v 1597 Lille rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Troyes v Lille

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1597 vs 1331).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Troyes

Green = favours Troyes · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TroyesLLLDL0.2 ppg
LilleWLDWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Troyes1331
Lille1597
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 28% · 55%
Power Rating21% · 12% · 67%
Machine-learning2% · 34% · 64%

AI match preview

Troyes will host Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a strong 72% chance of victory, according to the model, with a confidence rating of 87 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, likely ending 0-1 in favor of Lille, while the probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain under 50%. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.58

Most likely score

0-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jun 2023 Troyes 1–1 Lille
Jan 2023 Lille 5–1 Troyes