Brest vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 14 Jan, 14:00
Brest
20 Full time
Montpellier
Brest 2–0 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 23%
Away 21%

💡 Brest are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1482 Brest rated higher
Form Index WDWWW v DLDWD Brest 2.6 · Montpellier 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Montpellier

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1482).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestWDWWW2.6 ppg
MontpellierDLDWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1560
Montpellier1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model51% · 27% · 22%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning68% · 16% · 15%

AI match preview

Brest holds a 56% probability of securing a home victory against Montpellier, with an expected goals tally favoring Brest at 1.69 to Montpellier's 1.05. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 23% chance of a draw and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. The game also leans slightly towards both teams scoring (55%) and over 2.5 goals (52%), but as always, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.69 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Brest 2–0 Montpellier
Nov 2023 Montpellier 1–3 Brest