Metz vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 14 Jan, 14:00
Metz
01 Full time
Toulouse
Metz 0–1 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 29%
Away 33%

💡 Metz have a slight edge — leaning Metz, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1438 Metz rated higher
Form Index WLLLL v LDLDL Metz 0.6 · Toulouse 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Metz v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1444 vs 1438).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Metz
Goal expectation
Metz
Home advantage
Metz

Green = favours Metz · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MetzWLLLL0.6 ppg
ToulouseLDLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Metz1444
Toulouse1438
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 36% · 23%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning40% · 29% · 31%

AI match preview

Metz hosts Toulouse in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 38%, though a draw (29%) or an away victory (33%) remain plausible outcomes. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Metz edging it 1.08 to 0.72, yet the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw. With only a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious, low-scoring encounter. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.08 – 0.72

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 27%

Under 73%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Metz 0–1 Toulouse
Oct 2023 Toulouse 3–0 Metz