Le Havre vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 14 Jan, 16:05
Le Havre
31 Full time
Lyon
Le Havre 3–1 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 30%

💡 Le Havre have a slight edge — leaning Le Havre, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1481 v 1448 Le Havre rated higher
Form Index DLLWL v LLWWW Le Havre 0.8 · Lyon 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1481 vs 1448).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Le Havre
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreDLLWL0.8 ppg
LyonLLWWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1481
Lyon1448
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 34% · 21%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning66% · 24% · 10%

AI match preview

Le Havre hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 42% probability of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 28% and 30% respectively. Despite Le Havre's higher expected goals (1.16 vs 0.71), the most likely scoreline is a cautious 0-0, reflecting a potentially tight contest. With only a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and 37% probability both teams scoring, this match may lean towards a low-scoring affair—remember, these are statistical projections; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 0.71

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Le Havre 3–1 Lyon
Sept 2023 Lyon 0–0 Le Havre