Montpellier vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 12:00
Montpellier
00 Full time
Lille
Montpellier 0–0 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 28%
Away 45%

💡 Lille have a slight edge — leaning Lille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1560 Lille rated higher
Form Index LDWDL v WDDLW Montpellier 1.0 · Lille 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Montpellier v Lille

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1472).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierLDWDL1.0 ppg
LilleWDDLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1472
Lille1560
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 34% · 39%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning23% · 29% · 48%

AI match preview

Montpellier host Lille in a Ligue 1 clash where the model favors an away win at 45%, though a draw is nearly as likely with a 28% chance. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with both teams scoring in a probable 1-1 draw, despite Lille holding a slight edge. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (34%) and BTTS (43%), this match could be a cautious encounter; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.92 – 1.14

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Montpellier 0–0 Lille
Sept 2023 Lille 1–0 Montpellier