Lorient vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 14:00
Lorient
33 Full time
Le Havre
Lorient 3–3 Le Havre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 29%
Away 41%

💡 Le Havre have a slight edge — leaning Le Havre, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1399 v 1493 Le Havre rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v LLWLW Lorient 0.2 · Le Havre 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lorient v Le Havre

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Why we predict this

  • Le Havre is the stronger side on Power Rating (1493 vs 1399).
  • Le Havre is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Le Havre
Form Index
Le Havre
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientDLLLL0.2 ppg
Le HavreLLWLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1399
Le Havre1493
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 29% · 36%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning13% · 30% · 57%

AI match preview

Lorient hosts Le Havre in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 41%, though a draw or home victory remain plausible with 29% each. Both teams are projected to score equally, with an expected 1.35 goals each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the away win pick. With over 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities hovering around 50%, this matchup promises a competitive and potentially open game. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Lorient 3–3 Le Havre
Sept 2023 Le Havre 3–0 Lorient