Toulouse vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 16:05
Toulouse
02 Full time
Lens
Toulouse 0–2 Lens

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 29%
Away 41%

💡 Lens have a slight edge — leaning Lens, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 43.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1518 Lens rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v WDWLL Toulouse 1.0 · Lens 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Lens

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1518 vs 1451).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseDLDLW1.0 ppg
LensWDWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1451
Lens1518
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 34% · 26%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning27% · 30% · 44%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Lens face off in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win for Lens at 41%, though a draw remains a close possibility at 29%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Toulouse edging slightly higher at 1.15 compared to Lens's 0.89, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins — remember these projections are statistical estimates and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.15 – 0.89

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Toulouse 0–2 Lens
Sept 2023 Lens 2–1 Toulouse