Paris SG vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 28 Jan, 19:45
Paris SG
22 Full time
Brest
Paris SG 2–2 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 19%
Away 16%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1662 v 1570 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index WWDWW v DWWWW Paris SG 2.6 · Brest 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Brest

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1662 vs 1570).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWWDWW2.6 ppg
BrestDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1662
Brest1570
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 27% · 19%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning72% · 17% · 11%

AI match preview

Paris SG enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 65% probability of securing a home win against Brest, backed by a confidence rating of 77.6 out of 100. While the expected goals suggest a 1.74 to 0.96 advantage for the hosts, the most likely scoreline remains a tight 1-1 draw, reflecting Brest’s potential to challenge. With a roughly even chance for over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (52%), this match promises competitive action—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and gambling should be approached responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.74 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2024 Paris SG 2–2 Brest
Oct 2023 Brest 2–3 Paris SG