Rennes vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 3 Feb, 16:00
Rennes
21 Full time
Montpellier
Rennes 2–1 Montpellier

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 22%
Away 21%

💡 Rennes are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1511 v 1473 Rennes rated higher
Form Index LDWWW v DWDLD Rennes 2.0 · Montpellier 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1511 vs 1473).
  • Rennes is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Rennes
Form Index
Rennes
Goal expectation
Rennes
Home advantage
Rennes

Green = favours Rennes · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RennesLDWWW2.0 ppg
MontpellierDWDLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Rennes1511
Montpellier1473
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 25% · 27%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning52% · 22% · 26%

AI match preview

Rennes enter this Ligue 1 clash with a 57% probability of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.87 compared to Montpellier's 1.36. Despite Rennes' edge, the model suggests a 22% chance of a draw, with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline. Fans can also anticipate a lively match, with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each carrying probabilities above 60%. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 63%

Under 37%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Rennes 2–1 Montpellier
Sept 2023 Montpellier 0–0 Rennes