Metz vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 4 Feb, 14:00
Metz
12 Full time
Lorient
Metz 1–2 Lorient

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 27%
Away 23%

💡 Metz are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1400 Metz rated higher
Form Index LLLLL v LLLLD Metz 0.0 · Lorient 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Metz v Lorient

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1425 vs 1400).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Metz
Form Index
Metz
Goal expectation
Metz
Home advantage
Metz

Green = favours Metz · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MetzLLLLL0.0 ppg
LorientLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Metz1425
Lorient1400
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 31% · 22%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning62% · 25% · 13%

AI match preview

Metz holds a 50% probability of securing a home victory against Lorient, who are pegged at 23%, with a draw at 27% in this Ligue 1 clash. The model forecasts a modest goal tally, projecting 1.38 expected goals for Metz and 0.87 for Lorient, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the home win pick. With just a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on tight margins—remember, these are statistical projections and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.38 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Metz 1–2 Lorient
Nov 2023 Lorient 2–3 Metz