Lyon vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 4 Feb, 19:45
Lyon
10 Full time
Marseille
Lyon 1–0 Marseille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 26%
Away 44%

💡 Marseille have a slight edge — leaning Marseille, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1425 v 1536 Marseille rated higher
Form Index WWWLL v WWDDD Lyon 1.8 · Marseille 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Marseille

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1536 vs 1425).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Marseille
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWWWLL1.8 ppg
MarseilleWWDDD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1425
Marseille1536
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 25% · 44%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning12% · 25% · 63%

AI match preview

Lyon host Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where the visitors hold a 44% chance of winning, slightly ahead of Lyon's 30% and a 26% probability of a draw. The model suggests a tight contest with an expected goals tally of 1.57 for Lyon and 1.88 for Marseille, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the away win being the preferred pick. With a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% probability of both teams scoring, this match could offer plenty of attacking action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.88

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Lyon 1–0 Marseille
Dec 2023 Marseille 3–0 Lyon