Paris SG vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 10 Feb, 20:00
Paris SG
31 Full time
Lille
Paris SG 3–1 Lille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 22%
Away 21%

💡 Paris SG are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1666 v 1569 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index DWWDW v DLWDW Paris SG 2.2 · Lille 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Lille

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1666 vs 1569).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGDWWDW2.2 ppg
LilleDLWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1666
Lille1569
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 25% · 18%
Power Rating63% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning63% · 20% · 17%

AI match preview

Paris SG are favored to edge Lille with a 57% chance of victory, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.84 to 0.96. Despite the home advantage, the model highlights a 22% probability of a draw, with 1-1 as the most likely scoreline, suggesting a potentially tight contest. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are each projected at 53%, indicating a moderately open game; remember these are statistical probabilities and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Paris SG 3–1 Lille
Dec 2023 Lille 1–1 Paris SG