Toulouse vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 14:00
Toulouse
12 Full time
Nantes
Toulouse 1–2 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 25%
Away 26%

💡 Toulouse are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1429 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index DLWLW v LLLDL Toulouse 1.4 · Nantes 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Nantes

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1450 vs 1429).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseDLWLW1.4 ppg
NantesLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1450
Nantes1429
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 31% · 21%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning54% · 19% · 27%

AI match preview

Toulouse hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight advantage with a 48% chance of victory, though a draw and an away win remain plausible outcomes. The model predicts a modest goal tally, with expected goals favoring Toulouse at 1.40 compared to Nantes' 0.84, and the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw. With under 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and just 45% for both teams to score, this game could be a tight contest—remember, these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.84

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Toulouse 1–2 Nantes
Aug 2023 Nantes 1–2 Toulouse