✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.
What our model predicted
💡 Montpellier have a slight edge — leaning Montpellier, but it's close.
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Why we predict this
- Closely matched on Power Rating (1465 vs 1438).
- Lyon is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
- All 3 model components agree on this outcome.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
Montpellier hosts Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 44%, with a 48/100 confidence level, though a goalless draw remains the most probable exact score. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Montpellier edging 1.09 to Lyon’s 0.72, while both teams scoring is projected at just 36%. With only a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals, this encounter could be a cautious affair—remember, these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
1.09 – 0.72
Most likely score
0-0
18% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 27%
Under 73%
Both teams to score
Yes 36%
No 64%
Value bet vs odds
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