Nice vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 11 Feb, 19:45
Nice
23 Full time
Monaco
Nice 2–3 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 29%
Away 26%

💡 Nice have a slight edge — leaning Nice, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1540 Nice rated higher
Form Index LWLWD v LWLDD Nice 1.4 · Monaco 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nice v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1561 vs 1540).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceLWLWD1.4 ppg
MonacoLWLDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1561
Monaco1540
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 28% · 14%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning38% · 39% · 23%

AI match preview

Nice hold a slight edge over Monaco in this Ligue 1 clash, with a 45% probability of securing a home win and an expected goals advantage of 1.57 to 0.67. The model suggests a tight encounter, most likely ending 1-0, while the chances of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring remain relatively low at 39% and 40%, respectively. Remember, these are statistical projections and not certainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.57 – 0.67

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Nice 2–3 Monaco
Sept 2023 Monaco 0–1 Nice