Lyon vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Fri 16 Feb, 20:00
Lyon
10 Full time
Nice
Lyon 1–0 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 28%
Away 42%

💡 Nice have a slight edge — leaning Nice, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1547 Nice rated higher
Form Index WLLWW v WLWDL Lyon 1.8 · Nice 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1547 vs 1452).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWLLWW1.8 ppg
NiceWLWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1452
Nice1547
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 32% · 42%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning14% · 19% · 66%

AI match preview

Lyon host Nice in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a close possibility at 28%. The expected goals suggest a competitive game with 0.93 for Lyon and 1.26 for Nice, aligning with the most likely score of 1-1. With both teams to score at 45% and over 2.5 goals less probable at 37%, this match could hinge on tight margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Lyon 1–0 Nice
Aug 2023 Nice 0–0 Lyon