Lille vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 17 Feb, 16:00
Lille
30 Full time
Le Havre
Lille 3–0 Le Havre

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 22%
Away 15%

💡 Lille are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 73.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 73.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1560 v 1483 Lille rated higher
Form Index LWDWL v LWDDL Lille 1.4 · Le Havre 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1560 vs 1483).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleLWDWL1.4 ppg
Le HavreLWDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1560
Le Havre1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model64% · 26% · 10%
Power Rating59% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning59% · 26% · 16%

AI match preview

Lille enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 62% probability of securing a home win against Le Havre, who are rated at just 15% to claim victory. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with expected goals favoring Lille at 1.65 to Le Havre's 0.52 and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. While the chance of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring is relatively low, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.52

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Lille 3–0 Le Havre
Oct 2023 Le Havre 0–2 Lille