Monaco vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 18 Feb, 14:00
Monaco
12 Full time
Toulouse
Monaco 1–2 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 21%
Away 17%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1553 v 1437 Monaco rated higher
Form Index WLDDW v LWLWL Monaco 1.6 · Toulouse 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monaco v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1553 vs 1437).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoWLDDW1.6 ppg
ToulouseLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1553
Toulouse1437
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 27% · 16%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning72% · 17% · 10%

AI match preview

Monaco enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 63% probability of securing a home win against Toulouse, reflecting a confident model rating of 74.3 out of 100. The expected goals projection favors Monaco at 1.66 compared to Toulouse’s 0.76, with a 1-0 scoreline emerging as the most likely outcome. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring remain moderate at 44% and 45% respectively, these projections are based on statistical models—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 0.76

Most likely score

1-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Monaco 1–2 Toulouse
Dec 2023 Toulouse 1–2 Monaco