Brest vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 18 Feb, 19:45
Brest
10 Full time
Marseille
Brest 1–0 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 26%
Away 28%

💡 Brest are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1570 v 1519 Brest rated higher
Form Index WWDDD v DDDLD Brest 1.8 · Marseille 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Marseille

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1570 vs 1519).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestWWDDD1.8 ppg
MarseilleDDDLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1570
Marseille1519
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 25% · 14%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning43% · 28% · 29%

AI match preview

Brest hold a statistical edge at home with a 46% chance of victory against Marseille, who are projected to score fewer goals on the road. The model forecasts a 2-0 win for Brest, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.87 to 0.79 in their favor. With a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and BTTS just under 50%, this match could see a moderate goal count; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 0.79

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Brest 1–0 Marseille
Aug 2023 Marseille 2–0 Brest