Lorient vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 24 Feb, 16:00
Lorient
01 Full time
Nantes
Lorient 0–1 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 26%
Away 34%

💡 Lorient have a slight edge — leaning Lorient, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1434 Lorient rated higher
Form Index LDWWW v LDLWL Lorient 2.0 · Nantes 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lorient v Nantes

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1453 vs 1434).
  • Lorient is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lorient
Form Index
Lorient
Goal expectation
Lorient
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientLDWWW2.0 ppg
NantesLDLWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1453
Nantes1434
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 25% · 25%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning36% · 22% · 42%

AI match preview

Lorient hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 39%, though a draw and away victory remain viable outcomes with probabilities of 26% and 34%, respectively. Expected goals lean towards Lorient with 1.90 compared to Nantes' 1.32, suggesting a moderately open game, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 64% probability both teams will score, fans can anticipate an engaging, competitive match—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 64%

No 36%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Lorient 0–1 Nantes
Sept 2023 Nantes 5–3 Lorient