Lens vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 25 Feb, 12:00
Lens
23 Full time
Monaco
Lens 2–3 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Lens have a slight edge — leaning Lens, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1555 v 1537 Lens rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v LDDWL Lens 2.0 · Monaco 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lens v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1555 vs 1537).
  • Lens is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Lens

Green = favours Lens · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LensLWWWD2.0 ppg
MonacoLDDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lens1555
Monaco1537
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 23% · 29%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning42% · 31% · 28%

AI match preview

Lens and Monaco clash in a Ligue 1 encounter where the home side holds a slight edge with a 44% chance of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 26% and 30% respectively. Both teams are expected to produce goals, with an anticipated scoreline around 1-1 and a strong 71% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. These projections are based on statistical models and should be used as a guide—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.08 – 1.62

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 71%

Under 29%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Bollaert-Delelis Lens, France Capacity 38,223 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Lens 2–3 Monaco
Sept 2023 Monaco 3–0 Lens