Toulouse vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 25 Feb, 14:00
Toulouse
31 Full time
Lille
Toulouse 3–1 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (48%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 27%
Away 48%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 53.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1571 Lille rated higher
Form Index WLWLW v WDWLW Toulouse 1.8 · Lille 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Lille

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1571 vs 1453).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseWLWLW1.8 ppg
LilleWDWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1453
Lille1571
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 33% · 38%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning13% · 24% · 63%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Lille face off in a Ligue 1 clash where Lille holds a 48% chance of securing an away win, according to model projections, with a moderate confidence level of 53.6 out of 100. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, averaging around 1.01 for Toulouse and 1.17 for Lille, while a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline. With only a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 46%, this match could be closely fought; remember these are statistical insights and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.01 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2024 Toulouse 3–1 Lille
Nov 2023 Lille 1–1 Toulouse