Toulouse vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 3 Mar, 12:00
Toulouse
21 Full time
Nice
Toulouse 2–1 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 29%
Away 42%

💡 Nice have a slight edge — leaning Nice, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 44.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1472 v 1530 Nice rated higher
Form Index LWLWW v WDLLD Toulouse 1.8 · Nice 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Toulouse v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1530 vs 1472).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Toulouse

Green = favours Toulouse · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ToulouseLWLWW1.8 ppg
NiceWDLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Toulouse1472
Nice1530
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 36% · 31%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning22% · 19% · 58%

AI match preview

Toulouse and Nice are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to an away win at 42% probability, though a draw remains nearly as likely at 29%. Both teams are projected to score under one goal each, suggesting a tight match that could well end goalless. With only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, expect a cautious encounter; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.93 – 0.90

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Toulouse 2–1 Nice
Nov 2023 Nice 1–0 Toulouse