Lyon vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 3 Mar, 19:45
Lyon
03 Full time
Lens
Lyon 0–3 Lens

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 28%
Away 38%

💡 Lens have a slight edge — leaning Lens, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1542 Lens rated higher
Form Index LWWWW v WWWDL Lyon 2.4 · Lens 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Lens

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1542 vs 1475).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Lens. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonLWWWW2.4 ppg
LensWWWDL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1475
Lens1542
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 32% · 41%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning27% · 23% · 50%

AI match preview

Lyon host Lens in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 38% chance of victory, compared to Lyon’s 34%, while a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with Lens slightly favored to score more (1.27 to 0.98), and the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With under 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and less than half the games seeing both teams score, this matchup could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Lyon 0–3 Lens
Dec 2023 Lens 3–2 Lyon