Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 10 Mar, 14:00
Le Havre
10 Full time
Toulouse
Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 32%
Away 31%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 38.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1453 v 1483 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v WLWWW Le Havre 0.2 · Toulouse 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Le Havre v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1453 vs 1483).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreDLLLL0.2 ppg
ToulouseWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1453
Toulouse1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 32% · 26%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning38% · 43% · 19%

AI match preview

Le Havre and Toulouse are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 32%, reflecting balanced probabilities between the teams. Expected goals suggest a tight match with Le Havre favored to score 1.23 goals to Toulouse’s 0.93, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With just a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% probability of both teams scoring, fans should anticipate a competitive, low-scoring encounter. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse
Nov 2023 Toulouse 1–2 Le Havre