Nantes vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 16 Mar, 16:00
Nantes
13 Full time
Strasbourg
Nantes 1–3 Strasbourg

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 27%
Away 29%

💡 Nantes have a slight edge — leaning Nantes, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1433 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index WLWLL v LLLDL Nantes 1.2 · Strasbourg 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1417 vs 1433).
  • Nantes is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Nantes
Goal expectation
Nantes
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Strasbourg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesWLWLL1.2 ppg
StrasbourgLLLDL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1417
Strasbourg1433
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 30% · 32%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning47% · 20% · 34%

AI match preview

Nantes and Strasbourg are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 44% probability. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by a 52% chance for BTTS, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw despite a marginal edge in expected goals for Nantes (1.31 vs. 1.18). With just under a 50% confidence in the home win and a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals, this match promises tight competition—remember, these projections are statistical and for entertainment; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Nantes 1–3 Strasbourg
Oct 2023 Strasbourg 1–2 Nantes