Lens vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 16 Mar, 20:00
Lens
13 Full time
Nice
Lens 1–3 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Lens are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1571 v 1504 Lens rated higher
Form Index WDLWW v LLDLL Lens 2.0 · Nice 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lens v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Lens is the stronger side on Power Rating (1571 vs 1504).
  • Lens is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lens
Form Index
Lens
Goal expectation
Lens
Home advantage
Lens

Green = favours Lens · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LensWDLWW2.0 ppg
NiceLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lens1571
Nice1504
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 33% · 21%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning50% · 20% · 30%

AI match preview

Lens holds a moderate 50% probability of securing a home win against Nice, with the model favoring a narrow 1-0 victory based on expected goals of 1.24 to 0.74. The chances of a draw or away win both stand at 25%, while the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is relatively low at 32%, and both teams scoring sits at 39%. These projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly for entertainment purposes only — gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.74

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Bollaert-Delelis Lens, France Capacity 38,223 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Lens 1–3 Nice
Dec 2023 Nice 2–0 Lens