Brest vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 17 Mar, 12:00
Brest
11 Full time
Lille
Brest 1–1 Lille

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 28%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1588 v 1561 Brest rated higher
Form Index DWWWL v LWLWD Brest 2.0 · Lille 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Lille

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1588 vs 1561).
  • Brest is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestDWWWL2.0 ppg
LilleLWLWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1588
Lille1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 31% · 15%
Power Rating51% · 19% · 30%
Machine-learning40% · 30% · 30%

AI match preview

Brest hold a statistical edge at home against Lille, with a 43% chance of securing a win compared to a 28% probability for the visitors. The model predicts a tight affair, most likely ending 1-0, reflecting Brest's expected goals advantage of 1.40 to 0.62. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, this matchup could feature a cautious, low-scoring battle; remember these are projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 0.62

Most likely score

1-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2024 Brest 1–1 Lille
Oct 2023 Lille 1–0 Brest