Nantes vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 7 Apr, 20:45
Nantes
13 Full time
Lyon
Nantes 1–3 Lyon

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Lyon have a slight edge — leaning Lyon, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1415 v 1487 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WLLLW v WLWWD Nantes 1.2 · Lyon 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1487 vs 1415).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesWLLLW1.2 ppg
LyonWLWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1415
Lyon1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 29% · 44%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 38%
Machine-learning49% · 23% · 28%

AI match preview

Nantes host Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 40% chance of victory, while a draw is also a strong possibility at 28%. The model projects a closely contested encounter with expected goals favoring Lyon marginally (1.47 vs. 1.12) and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. With both teams having a 54% chance to score and under a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a competitive match; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Nantes 1–3 Lyon
Dec 2023 Lyon 1–0 Nantes