Clermont vs Montpellier Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 14 Apr, 15:00
Clermont
11 Full time
Montpellier
Clermont 1–1 Montpellier

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 29%
Draw 27%
Away 44%

💡 Montpellier have a slight edge — leaning Montpellier, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1385 v 1483 Montpellier rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Montpellier is the stronger side on Power Rating (1483 vs 1385).
  • Montpellier is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Montpellier
Form Index
Montpellier
Goal expectation
Montpellier
Home advantage
Clermont

Green = favours Clermont · Blue = favours Montpellier. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ClermontLLWLD0.8 ppg
MontpellierDWLWW2 ppg
Power Rating
Clermont1385
Montpellier1483
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 27% · 56%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning35% · 31% · 34%

AI match preview

Clermont face Montpellier in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 44% chance of victory, slightly edging out the home team's 29% probability and a 27% likelihood of a draw. The model projects a moderately tight contest with expected goals favoring Montpellier at 1.67 to Clermont's 0.84, and the most probable scoreline pegged at 1-1. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match could be finely balanced; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.84 – 1.67

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Clermont 1–1 Montpellier
Nov 2023 Montpellier 1–1 Clermont