Lyon vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 14 Apr, 20:45
Lyon
43 Full time
Brest
Lyon 4–3 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (37%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 27%
Away 37%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 38.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 38.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1503 v 1598 Brest rated higher
Form Index LWWDW v WLDWW Lyon 2.0 · Brest 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Brest

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1598 vs 1503).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonLWWDW2.0 ppg
BrestWLDWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1503
Brest1598
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 28% · 54%
Power Rating35% · 24% · 41%
Machine-learning25% · 23% · 52%

AI match preview

Lyon host Brest in a Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 37%, just edging out a home victory at 36%, with draws at 27%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, projecting 0.81 for Lyon and 1.59 for Brest, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With both teams scoring predicted at 46% and an over 2.5 goals chance of 43%, this match could see a modest goal tally; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.81 – 1.59

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Lyon 4–3 Brest
Sept 2023 Brest 1–0 Lyon