Nice vs Lorient Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Fri 19 Apr, 21:00
Nice
30 Full time
Lorient
Nice 3–0 Lorient

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (63%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 63%
Draw 22%
Away 16%

💡 Nice are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1512 v 1421 Nice rated higher
Form Index LLWLD v WLDLL Nice 0.8 · Lorient 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Nice is the stronger side on Power Rating (1512 vs 1421).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nice
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Nice
Home advantage
Nice

Green = favours Nice · Blue = favours Lorient. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NiceLLWLD0.8 ppg
LorientWLDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nice1512
Lorient1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 28% · 15%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning73% · 21% · 6%

AI match preview

Nice enter this Ligue 1 clash with a 63% chance of securing a home win against Lorient, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.61 to 0.71. A tight 1-0 scoreline is the most probable outcome, reflecting a match that may not see many goals, with just a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams scoring. Keep in mind these projections are based on statistical models and always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.71

Most likely score

1-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Nice 3–0 Lorient
Aug 2023 Lorient 1–1 Nice