Le Havre vs Metz Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 21 Apr, 15:00
Le Havre
01 Full time
Metz
Le Havre 0–1 Metz

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 28%
Away 25%

💡 Le Havre are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1423 v 1409 Le Havre rated higher
Form Index WLLDL v WLLLW Le Havre 0.8 · Metz 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1423 vs 1409).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Le Havre
Form Index
Metz
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Metz. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreWLLDL0.8 ppg
MetzWLLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1423
Metz1409
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 30% · 25%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning59% · 25% · 16%

AI match preview

Le Havre host Metz in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight advantage with a 47% chance of winning, though a draw at 28% remains a strong possibility. The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with both teams likely to score given the 49% BTTS probability, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1. With just a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a moderately scored game; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Le Havre 0–1 Metz
Oct 2023 Metz 0–0 Le Havre