Brest vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 21 Apr, 17:05
Brest
02 Full time
Monaco
Brest 0–2 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (42%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 42%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Brest have a slight edge — leaning Brest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 44.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 44.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1586 v 1580 Brest rated higher
Form Index LDWWL v DWDWW Brest 1.4 · Monaco 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Brest v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1586 vs 1580).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Brest
Home advantage
Brest

Green = favours Brest · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrestLDWWL1.4 ppg
MonacoDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Brest1586
Monaco1580
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 24% · 27%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning42% · 39% · 19%

AI match preview

Brest hosts Monaco in a Ligue 1 clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 42% chance of victory, while a draw and away win stand at 28% and 31%, respectively. The model anticipates an open game with expected goals of 2.04 for Brest and 1.50 for Monaco, suggesting a competitive encounter likely to see both teams scoring and a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline. With a 69% probability for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can expect attacking play, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.50

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 69%

Under 31%

Both teams to score

Yes 69%

No 31%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Brest 0–2 Monaco
Nov 2023 Monaco 2–0 Brest