Montpellier vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Fri 26 Apr, 21:00
Montpellier
11 Full time
Nantes
Montpellier 1–1 Nantes

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 24%
Away 23%

💡 Montpellier are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1495 v 1395 Montpellier rated higher
Form Index LWWDW v LWLWL Montpellier 2.0 · Nantes 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Montpellier v Nantes

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Why we predict this

  • Montpellier is the stronger side on Power Rating (1495 vs 1395).
  • Montpellier is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Montpellier
Form Index
Montpellier
Goal expectation
Montpellier
Home advantage
Montpellier

Green = favours Montpellier · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MontpellierLWWDW2.0 ppg
NantesLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Montpellier1495
Nantes1395
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 31% · 27%
Power Rating63% · 12% · 25%
Machine-learning71% · 18% · 11%

AI match preview

Montpellier holds a slight edge with a 53% chance to win against Nantes, though the model also suggests a notable possibility of a draw at 24%. Both teams are expected to produce a tight contest, with an anticipated scoreline around 1-1 and a moderate 48% probability for both sides to find the net. Over 2.5 goals seems less likely at 41%, indicating a potentially cautious game. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.00

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Montpellier 1–1 Nantes
Oct 2023 Nantes 2–0 Montpellier