Paris SG vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 27 Apr, 21:00
Paris SG
33 Full time
Le Havre
Paris SG 3–3 Le Havre

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (76%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 76%
Draw 15%
Away 9%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 92.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 92.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1702 v 1410 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index WWDWW v LLDLL Paris SG 2.6 · Le Havre 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Le Havre

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1702 vs 1410).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Le Havre. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWWDWW2.6 ppg
Le HavreLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1702
Le Havre1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model72% · 18% · 10%
Power Rating78% · 12% · 10%
Machine-learning89% · 8% · 3%

AI match preview

Paris SG are strong favorites to secure a home win against Le Havre, with a 76% probability and a high confidence rating of 92/100. The model projects an expected goal tally of 2.44 for Paris SG versus 0.84 for Le Havre, pointing towards a likely 2-0 scoreline. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score stand at 64% and 53% probabilities respectively; remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.44 – 0.84

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Paris SG 3–3 Le Havre
Dec 2023 Le Havre 0–2 Paris SG