Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 28 Apr, 15:00
Lorient
12 Full time
Toulouse
Lorient 1–2 Toulouse

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 28%
Away 38%

💡 Toulouse have a slight edge — leaning Toulouse, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1401 v 1490 Toulouse rated higher
Form Index DLLLL v LWDWD Lorient 0.2 · Toulouse 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lorient v Toulouse

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Toulouse is the stronger side on Power Rating (1490 vs 1401).
  • Toulouse is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Toulouse
Form Index
Toulouse
Goal expectation
Toulouse
Home advantage
Lorient

Green = favours Lorient · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LorientDLLLL0.2 ppg
ToulouseLWDWD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lorient1401
Toulouse1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model28% · 28% · 44%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning25% · 33% · 42%

AI match preview

Lorient host Toulouse in a closely contested Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a slight edge with a 38% chance of victory, compared to Lorient's 34%. The model projects a tight game with an expected goals tally favoring Toulouse at 1.58 against Lorient's 1.23, and a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline. With a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% likelihood of both teams scoring, this match promises competitive action, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.58

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 58%

No 42%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Lorient 1–2 Toulouse
Dec 2023 Toulouse 1–1 Lorient