Rennes vs Brest Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 28 Apr, 17:05
Rennes
45 Full time
Brest
Rennes 4–5 Brest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 28%
Away 31%

💡 Rennes have a slight edge — leaning Rennes, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1525 v 1566 Brest rated higher
Form Index WLLLW v DWWLL Rennes 1.2 · Brest 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Brest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1525).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brest
Form Index
Brest
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Rennes

Green = favours Rennes · Blue = favours Brest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RennesWLLLW1.2 ppg
BrestDWWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Rennes1525
Brest1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 28% · 35%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning37% · 27% · 37%

AI match preview

Rennes and Brest are set for a closely contested Ligue 1 clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 41% probability. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting an entertaining match likely to produce goals from both sides, with the most probable scoreline being a 1-1 draw. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also strong possibilities, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.42

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Rennes 4–5 Brest
Sept 2023 Brest 0–0 Rennes