Lyon vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 28 Apr, 19:00
Lyon
32 Full time
Monaco
Lyon 3–2 Monaco

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 23%
Away 41%

💡 Monaco have a slight edge — leaning Monaco, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1507 v 1608 Monaco rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v DWWWW Lyon 2.0 · Monaco 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Monaco

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1608 vs 1507).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 2.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Monaco. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWDWWL2.0 ppg
MonacoDWWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1507
Monaco1608
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 18% · 63%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning37% · 27% · 37%

AI match preview

Lyon hosts Monaco in this Ligue 1 clash with the model favoring an away win at 41%, while a home victory and draw stand at 36% and 23% respectively. The expected goals heavily lean towards an open game, projecting 1.54 for Lyon and 2.80 for Monaco, with a 1-2 scoreline the most probable outcome. With over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams scoring in 75% of simulations, fans can anticipate an entertaining encounter; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 2.80

Most likely score

1-2

8% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 81%

Under 19%

Both teams to score

Yes 75%

No 25%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2024 Lyon 3–2 Monaco
Dec 2023 Monaco 0–1 Lyon