Le Havre vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 4 May, 15:00
Le Havre
31 Full time
Strasbourg
Le Havre 3–1 Strasbourg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 30%
Away 31%

💡 Le Havre have a slight edge — leaning Le Havre, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1418 v 1463 Strasbourg rated higher
Form Index LDLLD v WDWLL Le Havre 0.4 · Strasbourg 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Strasbourg is the stronger side on Power Rating (1463 vs 1418).
  • Strasbourg is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Strasbourg
Form Index
Strasbourg
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Strasbourg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreLDLLD0.4 ppg
StrasbourgWDWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1418
Strasbourg1463
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 35% · 28%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning48% · 28% · 24%

AI match preview

Le Havre hosts Strasbourg in a closely contested Ligue 1 clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 39%, though a draw or away victory remain viable outcomes. Expected goals are modest, with Le Havre at 1.04 and Strasbourg at 0.87, suggesting a tight match that could well end goalless despite the home edge. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious battle—remember, these projections are based on statistical analysis and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 0.87

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Le Havre 3–1 Strasbourg
Dec 2023 Strasbourg 2–1 Le Havre