Monaco vs Clermont Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sat 4 May, 17:00
Monaco
41 Full time
Clermont
Monaco 4–1 Clermont

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (73%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 73%
Draw 16%
Away 11%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 88.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 88.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1596 v 1402 Monaco rated higher
Form Index 2.4 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monaco v Clermont

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Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1596 vs 1402).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Clermont. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoWWWWL2.4 ppg
ClermontLDDLW1 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1596
Clermont1402
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 27% · 13%
Power Rating72% · 12% · 16%
Machine-learning85% · 10% · 5%

AI match preview

Monaco enter this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 73% probability of securing a home win against Clermont, backed by a solid 1.60 expected goals to 0.61 on the away side. The model suggests a tight contest, with the most likely scoreline being a narrow 1-0 victory for Monaco, while the chances of over 2.5 goals or both teams scoring stand at a modest 38%. These projections highlight Monaco's edge but remind fans that football remains unpredictable—always gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.61

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Monaco 4–1 Clermont
Aug 2023 Clermont 2–4 Monaco