Lille vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Mon 6 May, 21:00
Lille
34 Full time
Lyon
Lille 3–4 Lyon

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 22%
Away 23%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1589 v 1519 Lille rated higher
Form Index WWWLW v DWWLW Lille 2.4 · Lyon 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Lyon

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1589 vs 1519).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Lyon. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleWWWLW2.4 ppg
LyonDWWLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1589
Lyon1519
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model67% · 23% · 10%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning67% · 21% · 12%

AI match preview

Lille enter this Ligue 1 clash with a 55% probability of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.96 to 0.66 over Lyon. The model favors a 2-0 scoreline, with under 2.5 goals slightly more probable at 51%, and both teams scoring less likely at 57%. While Lille hold the edge, these projections reflect probabilities, so please enjoy responsibly and gamble only if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.66

Most likely score

2-0

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Lille 3–4 Lyon
Nov 2023 Lyon 0–2 Lille