Nantes vs Lille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 12 May, 21:00
Nantes
12 Full time
Lille
Nantes 1–2 Lille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (54%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 25%
Away 54%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1406 v 1574 Lille rated higher
Form Index LWLDD v WWLWL Nantes 1.0 · Lille 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1574 vs 1406).
  • Lille is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Lille
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Nantes

Green = favours Nantes · Blue = favours Lille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NantesLWLDD1.0 ppg
LilleWWLWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nantes1406
Lille1574
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 31% · 47%
Power Rating29% · 18% · 53%
Machine-learning14% · 22% · 64%

AI match preview

Nantes face a tough challenge at home against Lille, with the model giving the visitors a 54% chance of securing the win and a confidence rating of 62/100. Despite Lille's edge, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a balanced expected goals tally of 0.91 for Nantes and 1.40 for Lille. With only a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, this match could be a closely contested affair—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 1.40

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Nantes 1–2 Lille
Aug 2023 Lille 2–0 Nantes