Paris SG vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 12 May, 21:00
Paris SG
13 Full time
Toulouse
Paris SG 1–3 Toulouse

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (72%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 72%
Draw 16%
Away 12%

💡 Paris SG are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 87.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 87.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1694 v 1487 Paris SG rated higher
Form Index WDWWD v DWDWL Paris SG 2.2 · Toulouse 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Paris SG v Toulouse

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Why we predict this

  • Paris SG is the stronger side on Power Rating (1694 vs 1487).
  • Paris SG is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Paris SG
Form Index
Paris SG
Goal expectation
Paris SG
Home advantage
Paris SG

Green = favours Paris SG · Blue = favours Toulouse. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Paris SGWDWWD2.2 ppg
ToulouseDWDWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Paris SG1694
Toulouse1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 23% · 18%
Power Rating73% · 12% · 15%
Machine-learning86% · 11% · 3%

AI match preview

Paris SG enters this Ligue 1 clash as strong favorites with a 72% chance of securing a home win, backed by an expected goals tally of 2.12 compared to Toulouse's 1.10. While the model suggests a competitive encounter with a most likely score of 1-1, there is also a notable 62% probability of the match finishing with over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance both teams will score. These projections highlight potential outcomes but remember to consider the inherent uncertainties in football and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.12 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Paris SG 1–3 Toulouse
Aug 2023 Toulouse 1–1 Paris SG