Le Havre vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 21:00
Le Havre
12 Full time
Marseille
Le Havre 1–2 Marseille

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 27%
Away 46%

💡 Marseille are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1428 v 1518 Marseille rated higher
Form Index LLDWL v DDWWL Le Havre 0.8 · Marseille 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Marseille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1518 vs 1428).
  • Marseille is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Marseille
Form Index
Marseille
Goal expectation
Le Havre
Home advantage
Le Havre

Green = favours Le Havre · Blue = favours Marseille. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Le HavreLLDWL0.8 ppg
MarseilleDDWWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Le Havre1428
Marseille1518
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model40% · 31% · 28%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning23% · 33% · 44%

AI match preview

Le Havre hosts Marseille in a Ligue 1 clash where the away side holds a 46% chance of victory according to the model, though a draw and home win are both plausible at 27%. The expected goals tally suggests a tight contest with 1.29 for Le Havre and 1.05 for Marseille, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With under 2.5 goals favored and a 49% chance both teams score, this match could be closely contested; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Le Havre 1–2 Marseille
Oct 2023 Marseille 3–0 Le Havre