Lille vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 21:00
Lille
22 Full time
Nice
Lille 2–2 Nice

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 24%
Away 19%

💡 Lille are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 66.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 66.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1582 v 1539 Lille rated higher
Form Index WLWLW v WDWWL Lille 1.8 · Nice 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lille v Nice

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Why we predict this

  • Lille is the stronger side on Power Rating (1582 vs 1539).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lille
Form Index
Nice
Goal expectation
Lille
Home advantage
Lille

Green = favours Lille · Blue = favours Nice. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LilleWLWLW1.8 ppg
NiceWDWWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Lille1582
Nice1539
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 30% · 17%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning43% · 33% · 24%

AI match preview

Lille holds a 57% chance of securing a home win against Nice, with the model projecting a tight 1-0 scoreline based on expected goals of 1.42 to 0.72. A draw is less likely at 24%, while an away victory stands at 19%, suggesting a competitive but Lille-favored encounter. With only a 36% probability for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, this match may feature disciplined defenses and a narrow margin; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.72

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Lille 2–2 Nice
Aug 2023 Nice 1–1 Lille