Lyon vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 21:00
Lyon
21 Full time
Strasbourg
Lyon 2–1 Strasbourg

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (62%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 62%
Draw 19%
Away 18%

💡 Lyon are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1543 v 1455 Lyon rated higher
Form Index WLWWW v WLLLW Lyon 2.4 · Strasbourg 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lyon v Strasbourg

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Why we predict this

  • Lyon is the stronger side on Power Rating (1543 vs 1455).
  • Lyon is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lyon
Form Index
Lyon
Goal expectation
Lyon
Home advantage
Lyon

Green = favours Lyon · Blue = favours Strasbourg. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LyonWLWWW2.4 ppg
StrasbourgWLLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lyon1543
Strasbourg1455
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 28% · 31%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 26%
Machine-learning54% · 25% · 21%

AI match preview

Lyon enters this Ligue 1 clash with a 62% chance of securing a home win against Strasbourg, backed by a solid 74/100 confidence rating. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals of 1.54 for Lyon and 1.32 for Strasbourg, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline despite the home win preference. With a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Lyon 2–1 Strasbourg
Aug 2023 Strasbourg 2–1 Lyon