Monaco vs Nantes Prediction

Ligue 1 23/24 · Sun 19 May, 21:00
Monaco
40 Full time
Nantes
Monaco 4–0 Nantes

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 18%
Away 14%

💡 Monaco are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1618 v 1399 Monaco rated higher
Form Index WWLWW v WLDDL Monaco 2.4 · Nantes 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Monaco v Nantes

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Monaco is the stronger side on Power Rating (1618 vs 1399).
  • Monaco is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Monaco
Form Index
Monaco
Goal expectation
Monaco
Home advantage
Monaco

Green = favours Monaco · Blue = favours Nantes. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonacoWWLWW2.4 ppg
NantesWLDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Monaco1618
Nantes1399
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 29% · 15%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning86% · 11% · 4%

AI match preview

Monaco enters this Ligue 1 clash with a strong 67% probability of securing a home win against Nantes, backed by a confidence level of 81 out of 100. The model projects an expected goals tally of 1.48 for Monaco and 0.66 for Nantes, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most likely outcome. With only a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this matchup may lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 0.66

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Stadium & conditions

Stade Louis II Monaco, France Capacity 18,523 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2024 Monaco 4–0 Nantes
Aug 2023 Nantes 3–3 Monaco